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Global Disease Burden Attributable to Ambient Air Pollution: Disparities, Determinants, and Implications for Public
Yixuan Jiang1, Su Shi1, Xia Meng1
1School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
Abstract:
Background: Ambient air pollution is a leading environmental risk factor for premature mortality worldwide. Characterizing the associated disease burden and spatiotemporal patterns is essential for informing global health policy. Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we assessed temporal trends and spatial heterogeneity in disease burden attributable to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) during 1990-2020. We further examined the association between sociodemographic index (SDI) and disease burden, and conducted decomposition analysis to quantify the driving factors of temporal changes in disease burden. Results: From 1990 to 2020, the age-standardized death rates attributable to ambient PM2.5 and O3 both declined globally, but substantial regional heterogeneity was observed. High-SDI regions generally experienced declining burdens, whereas low- and middle-SDI regions showed persistent or increasing trends. A significant reversed U-shaped association between SDI and both PM2.5- and O3-attributable burden was observed, consistent with an environmental Kuznets-type pattern. Despite the decline in age-standardized rates, the absolute number of deaths attributable to ambient PM2.5 and O3 both increased, driven primarily by population aging, population growth, and increasing exposure levels, although reductions in baseline mortality rates partly offset these increases. Conclusions: Ambient air pollution continues to contribute to substantial and persistent disparities in global disease burden. Health-oriented and region-specific air pollution control strategies are needed to effectively mitigate these inequities and improve population health.
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