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Workforce Projections For Physicians, Nurse Practitioners, And Physician Associates.

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¹Monica O'Reilly-Jacob (mo2986@cumc.columbia.edu), Columbia University, New York, New York.

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Summary

Physician supply will grow 1% annually, while nurse practitioners and physician associates will increase by 11% and 5.6% respectively by 2030. This clinician supply surge impacts healthcare team dynamics and policy.

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Area of Science:

Healthcare workforce analysis
Health policy research
Clinical workforce planning

Background:

Adequate clinician supply is crucial for healthcare policy.
Previous forecasts projected steady physician supply growth.

Purpose of the Study:

To forecast the supply of physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician associates through 2030.
To analyze the implications of projected workforce changes.

Main Methods:

Utilized forecasting models to project clinician supply.
Analyzed trends in nurse practitioner and physician associate graduates.

Main Results:

Physician supply projected to grow 1% annually.
Nurse practitioner supply projected to increase 11% annually.
Physician associate supply projected to increase 5.6% annually through 2030.

Conclusions:

Significant growth in advanced practice providers (nurse practitioners and physician associates) is expected.
The surge in nurse practitioners has key implications for healthcare onboarding, team-based care models, and policy development.