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Patient Information and Surgery Decisions: A Discrete Choice Experiment
Francesca Cornaglia1, Alessandro Iaria2, Eugenio Felipe Merlano1
1Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Health Economics
|July 19, 2026
Summary
High-risk patients undergoing hip replacement surgery often lack information on risks and non-surgical options like physiotherapy. Improving information access significantly reduces welfare loss, highlighting the importance of comprehensive patient education.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Medical Decision Making
- Surgical Outcomes Research
Background:
- Surgical procedures are increasingly common, even for elderly and high-risk individuals.
- Patient understanding of surgical risks and non-surgical alternatives is often incomplete.
- This knowledge gap is particularly concerning for high-risk patients where non-surgical options may be more relevant.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of information provision and non-surgical treatment availability on high-risk patients considering hip replacement.
- To model incorrect beliefs about post-surgery outcomes and limited non-surgical options.
- To quantify welfare loss associated with these factors in the UK context.
Main Methods:
- Development of a discrete choice model.
- Estimation using an online choice experiment with participants acting as hypothetical high-risk patients.
- Randomized provision of information on post-surgery outcomes and physiotherapy availability.
Main Results:
- Participant beliefs about post-surgery outcomes systematically differed from predicted outcomes.
- Information provision had varied effects on the accuracy of these beliefs.
- Excluding physiotherapy as a treatment option contributed to four-fifths of the total welfare loss.
- Incorrect beliefs about post-surgery outcomes accounted for the remaining welfare loss.
- Educational attainment was a significant predictor of welfare loss due to inaccurate beliefs.
Conclusions:
- Information deficits and limited non-surgical options significantly impact high-risk patients' decision-making and welfare.
- Physiotherapy's exclusion from treatment options represents a substantial source of welfare loss.
- Targeted educational interventions can mitigate welfare loss stemming from inaccurate patient beliefs regarding surgical risks.
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