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Cardiovascular Risk Assessment and Its Determinants Among Older Adults in India: Evidence From a Nationally
Vansh Maheshwari1, Shyamashree Das2, Saurav Basu2
1Population Health Sciences Institute Newcastle University Newcastle upon Tyne UK.
Insights
Over 3% of Indian adults aged 40+ with diabetes or hypertension face high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Early identification and targeted interventions are crucial for prevention.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Cardiology
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of mortality, particularly in aging populations.
- Early identification of high-risk individuals is critical for effective preventative strategies.
- Limited population-level CVD risk estimates exist for older Indian adults.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the prevalence of high 10-year cardiovascular event risk among older Indian adults.
- To identify key determinants associated with high cardiovascular risk in this demographic.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from the Longitudinal Aging Study in India Wave-1 (2017-2018).
- Inclusion of 64,266 participants aged 40-74 years.
- Utilized the WHO CVD Risk Chart 2019 (non-laboratory based) for risk stratification based on age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, and BMI.
Main Results:
- Weighted prevalence of high CVD risk (≥20%) was 2.67%; intermediate risk (10% to <20%) was 28.41%.
- Overall, 31.08% had ≥10% 10-year CVD risk.
- High risk was elevated in diabetes (3.53%) and hypertension (4.36%) subgroups. Alcohol use, prior hypertension, and widowed/separated status increased odds; college education and employment decreased odds.
Conclusions:
- Over 3% of Indian adults aged 40+ with diabetes or hypertension have a ≥20% 10-year CVD risk.
- Urgent need for targeted primary care interventions, including alcohol cessation and management of blood pressure and glycemic control.
Background:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality, posing a major challenge to its rapidly aging demographic. Early identification of individuals at high risk for future cardiovascular events is paramount for implementing timely preventative strategies. However, comprehensive population-level estimates using validated assessment tools remain limited in this setting. This study was to ascertain the prevalence and determinants of persons at high risk of experiencing any cardiovascular event within the next 10 years among older adults in India.
Methods:
We analyzed data from the Longitudinal Aging Study in India Wave-1 (2017-2018), including 64,266 participants aged 40-74 years. We used the World Health Organization CVD Risk Chart 2019 version, a nonlaboratory-based risk assessment model, to stratify cardiovascular risk based on age, sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, and body mass index.
Results:
Weighted prevalence of high CVD risk ( ≥ 20%) was 2.67% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.44, 2.91), while intermediate risk (10% to < 20%) was 28.41% (95% CI: 27.60, 29.25). Overall, 31.08% had ≥ 10% risk. In the diabetes and hypertension (HTN) subgroups, high risk ( ≥ 20%) was 3.53% and 4.36%, respectively. Adjusted analysis showed significantly higher odds of high risk among alcohol users, individuals with prior HTN, and widowed/separated participants. Conversely, college education and current employment were associated with significantly lower odds.
Conclusions:
Over 3 in 100 Indian adults aged ≥ 40 years with diabetes or HTN face a ≥ 20% 10-year CVD risk, highlighting an urgent need for targeted primary care interventions. Prioritizing alcohol cessation, aggressive blood pressure management, and glycemic control through universal standard care coverage is essential to mitigate this burden.
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