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Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) for Analgesics: Review of Applications, Regulatory Integration, and Emerging
Albert Dahan1,2, Joseph V Pergolizzi2, Marieke Niesters3,4
1Clinical Sciences, MediD Consultancy Group, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) offers quantitative tools to address challenges in analgesic drug development, such as high placebo rates and opioid safety. While MIDD is increasingly used, its full potential for analgesic development remains to be realized.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacology
- Drug Development
- Quantitative Systems Pharmacology
Background:
- Analgesic drug development faces unique hurdles including high placebo response rates, subjective pain assessment variability, opioid safety concerns, and dose optimization difficulties.
- Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) encompasses various quantitative modeling and simulation methods relevant to these challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review MIDD methodologies and their application across all phases of drug development, focusing on analgesic development.
- To clarify the progress and remaining gaps in applying MIDD to analgesic drug development.
Main Methods:
- Narrative review of literature identified through PubMed, EMBASE, and regulatory agency databases.
- Analysis of modeling and simulation contributions to regulatory decisions and drug approvals.
- Examination of regulatory frameworks and initiatives supporting MIDD.
Main Results:
- Modeling and simulation analyses informed over 60% of novel drug approvals by the FDA (2010-2020).
- Clinical trial simulation improves Phase II-to-Phase III transition rates and statistical power.
- Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling supports pediatric dose selection, with predictions generally within twofold of observed values.
- Regulatory adoption of MIDD has reduced uncertainty and incentivized investment.
- MIDD tools have been applied to opioid safety, dose development for specific analgesics, and bioequivalence studies, but no analgesic has undergone fully MIDD-centric development.
Conclusions:
- MIDD represents a significant shift towards evidence-driven, model-guided drug development.
- MIDD has substantial, though not yet fully realized, potential to overcome specific challenges in analgesic drug development.
- Further integration and application of MIDD are needed to optimize analgesic development processes.
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