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Trends in Diarrhea-associated Mortality in Children Less Than 5 Years of Age in the United States, 2005-2024
Mary C Moran1, Aaron T Curns, Umesh D Parashar
1From the Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Insights
Diarrhea-associated deaths in US children under five significantly decreased by 41% from 2005-2024. Rotavirus vaccination likely contributed to this decline, evidenced by reduced seasonal patterns in mortality.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Public Health
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology
- Vaccine Impact Studies
Background:
- Rotavirus vaccines were introduced in the US in 2006 and 2008, significantly reducing healthcare use for rotavirus and diarrhea.
- This study evaluates changes in diarrhea-associated mortality in young children from 2005 to 2024.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess trends in diarrhea-associated mortality among children aged 1-59 months in the United States.
- To investigate the potential impact of rotavirus vaccination on these mortality trends.
Main Methods:
- Examined diarrhea-associated deaths reported to the National Center for Health Statistics (2005-2024).
- Calculated death rates using national census data and analyzed using Poisson regression.
- Identified deaths using International Classification of Diseases codes related to diarrhea.
Main Results:
- A 41% decrease in diarrhea-associated deaths was observed, from 2.36 to 1.38 per 100,000 children (2005-2006 vs. 2022-2024).
- Mortality rates were higher in infants, males, Black, and non-Hispanic children, but these disparities lessened over time.
- Reduced seasonality of deaths during the rotavirus season was noted post-vaccine introduction.
Conclusions:
- Diarrhea-associated mortality has declined in the US, with rotavirus vaccines likely playing a role.
- Diminished seasonality suggests a vaccine contribution, though unspecified etiology in most deaths limits definitive attribution.
- Further research is needed to determine the exact causes of the remaining diarrhea-associated deaths.
Background:
The introduction of rotavirus vaccines in the United States in 2006 and 2008 has had large impacts on reducing rotavirus- and diarrhea-associated healthcare utilization. We evaluated changes in diarrhea-associated mortality from 2005 to 2024 among children 1-59 months of age.
Methods:
We examined diarrhea-associated deaths, identified by International Classification and Diagnostic codes related to diarrhea listed anywhere on the death certificate, reported to the National Center for Health Statistics from 2005 to 2024. Diarrhea-associated death rates were calculated using national census data. Rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using Poisson regression.
Results:
From 2005 to 2024, 6993 diarrhea-associated deaths of children 1-59 months old were reported. The rate of diarrhea-associated deaths decreased by 41%, from 2.36/100,00 in 2005-2006 to 1.38/100,000 in 2022-2024. Mortality rates were higher among infants 1-3 months old, males, Black children and non-Hispanic children. Differences in mortality rates across demographic groups decreased over time. Overall, 94% of diarrhea-associated deaths were of unspecified etiology. Before vaccine introduction, diarrhea-associated death rates were higher during the rotavirus season (January to June) within the 4-11 and 12-23 months age groups; however, no distinct seasonality was observed after vaccine introduction (2008-2024).
Conclusions:
Diarrhea-associated mortality has declined in the United States. The diminished seasonality of deaths during the rotavirus season in the age groups most susceptible to rotavirus suggests that vaccines likely contributed, among other factors, to declines in US diarrhea-associated mortality over the past 2 decades. However, the lack of specified etiology for most diarrhea-associated deaths precludes definitive attribution.
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