Coagulation activation is associated with genomic-instability-related features in TP53-mutated AML and MDS: routine...

Disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is a serious complication of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) associated with poor prognosis. In TP53-mutated AML and myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), however, the classical ISTH criteria rarely identify overt DIC, although bleeding and thrombotic complications are well documented in acute leukaemia. We hypothesized that these patients exhibit a lower-grade, subclinical coagulation activation that is associated with the underlying genomic-instability-related features of TP53-mutant disease.

We retrospectively analyzed 107 consecutive patients with TP53-mutated AML (n = 52) or high-risk MDS (MDS, n = 55), median age 65 years, diagnosed and initially evaluated at our centre between 2018 and 2025. Seven routine coagulation markers and 46 co-mutated genes were evaluated for associations with overall survival (OS) using univariate and multivariable Cox regression, continuous dose-response modeling, and unsupervised k-means clustering. Internal validity was assessed by 1000 bootstrap resamples.

Overt DIC according to ISTH criteria was rare (15%). Subclinical activation was common: 50% of patients had a D-dimer ≥1 μg/mL, 41% a fibrinogen ≥4 g/L, and 29% an INR ≥1.2. In univariate analysis, D-dimer, fibrinogen, INR, prothrombin time, and activated partial thromboplastin time were each associated with OS (HR 1.33-1.38 per SD; all p < 0.05). Complex karyotype correlated with higher D-dimer (median 1.39 vs. 0.60 μg/mL, p = 0.022) and fibrinogen (3.91 vs. 2.53 g/L, p = 0.007), while TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) showed modest positive correlations with D-dimer (ρ = 0.21), INR (ρ = 0.27), and PT (ρ = 0.27; all p < 0.05). Clustering identified three coagulation phenotypes: Silent (51%), Thrombo-inflammatory (31%), and Consumption-like (18%), showing a graded but statistically non-significant gradient in molecular features and a stepwise decline in median OS (14, 10 and 8 months; log-rank p = 0.041). After adjustment for complex karyotype, TP53 VAF, and favorable co-mutation count, the Consumption-like phenotype was associated with a non-significant increased risk (HR 1.83, 95% CI 0.92-3.65, p = 0.084), whereas favorable co-mutation pathways remained independently protective (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.35-0.90, p = 0.016).

In TP53-mutated AML/MDS, coagulation activation intensity is associated with the degree of genomic instability. The three phenotypes may add biological resolution beyond classical DIC and cytogenetic risk groups, but represent laboratory patterns rather than validated bleeding or thrombosis prediction tools. However, after accounting for genomic features, phenotypes were not independent predictors of outcome, with complex karyotype, TP53 VAF, and favorable co-mutation count driving prognosis. Because treatment intensity and other clinical confounders were not available, these survival associations are hypothesis-generating. Coagulation profiling remains inexpensive, widely accessible, and offers a practical window into disease biology that warrants prospective validation.