Long-Term Outcomes and Paired Immune and Genomic Exploratory Analyses After Neoadjuvant Dose-Dense MVAC in...

Background/Objectives: Cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by radical cystectomy has been the standard of care for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) for two decades, yet a substantial proportion of patients derive no benefit. As antibody-drug conjugates and immune checkpoint inhibitors reshape perioperative treatment, it is unclear which patients retain meaningful benefit from platinum. We describe long-term outcomes and exploratory paired immune and genomic analyses in a single-centre cohort treated with dose-dense MVAC (dd-MVAC). Methods: We retrospectively identified 54 consecutive patients with MIBC treated with neoadjuvant dd-MVAC between November 2013 and November 2019. Forty-two underwent radical cystectomy and are assessable for pathologic response. Immunohistochemistry for CD3, CD8, FOXP3, PD-1, PD-L1, PD-L2, and NY-ESO-1 was evaluable in 31 baseline specimens and 22 paired specimens; paired genomic profiling was evaluable in 12 cases, with paired tumour mutational burden (TMB) in 10 by whole-exome sequencing and 7 by TSO-500. Paired analyses necessarily exclude patients achieving a pathologic complete response (pCR), who have no residual tumour, and most early progressors. Results: pCR was achieved in 11/42 operated patients (26%, 95% CI 15-41). Median follow-up was 87 months (IQR 24-104). Hydronephrosis was the only baseline factor associated with absence of pCR (p = 0.016). Within the operated cohort, pCR was associated with longer recurrence-free survival (log-rank p = 0.017), but the difference in overall survival did not reach significance (p = 0.121). NAC reduced intratumoral FOXP3 (q = 0.001), NY-ESO-1 (q = 0.013), PD-L2 (q = 0.013), and CD3 (q = 0.043) after correction for multiple comparisons, whereas TMB showed no significant change (TSO-500 p = 0.67; WES p = 0.86). No statistically significant association was detected between any baseline immune marker, including PD-L1, and pCR. The mutational landscape was largely concordant before and after NAC. Conclusions: This study was exploratory and was not powered to validate predictive biomarkers. In this long-term cohort, dd-MVAC was associated with measurable depletion of intratumoral immune populations in chemoresistant tumours, while paired genomic profiles remained broadly concordant. No pre-treatment biomarker identified platinum-refractory patients, but the small evaluable subsets mean these are hypothesis-generating rather than negative findings, and prospective studies with pre-specified biomarker endpoints are required.