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Explainable Machine Learning Enables Quality Prediction and Moderate Drying Optimization of Dried Squid Fillets
Junpeng Zeng1, Jingyi Luo1, Yu Song1
1State Key Laboratory of Marine Food Processing & Safety Control, College of Food Science and Engineering, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.
Abstract:
Moderate processing is increasingly required in dried aquatic products to balance various quality attributes. This study developed an explainable machine learning framework integrating a back-propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN), genetic algorithm (GA), and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) in dried squid fillets. Four variables were evaluated: lipid-Maillard reaction products (L-MRPs) content, ultrasonic immersion time, drying temperature, and drying time. BP-ANN, support vector regression, random forest, and XGBoost were compared with response surface methodology (RSM). BP-ANN achieved the best overall test performance (R2 = 0.918; RMSE = 0.418), compared with RSM (R2 = 0.853). GA identified 0.62% L-MRPs, 20.18 min ultrasonic immersion, 39.86°C, and 24 h as the optimal conditions. Under these conditions, the experimental TBARS, total color difference, formaldehyde content, and sensory score were 6.76 mg/kg, 25.63, 7.29 mg/kg, and 42.41, respectively. Experimental validation showed the relative errors below 5.76%. SHAP analysis identified that drying temperature and time were dominant for all quality attributes. Finally, the moderately dried squid fillets (MDSF) remained acceptable for 5 days at 25°C, compared with 3 days for dried squid fillets prepared without L-MRPs. Notably, the MDSF maintained acceptable sensory and microbiological quality at least 14 days at 4°C. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Drying conditions strongly affect the quality and shelf life of dried squid products. The machine learning-assisted optimization strategy developed in this study identified processing conditions that reduced lipid oxidation and formaldehyde formation while maintaining desirable sensory quality. This framework enables quantitative and interpretable multi-objective optimization of moderate dried aquatic products.