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Toward stationary populations and beyond.

E Kessel

    International Journal of Gynaecology and Obstetrics: the Official Organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics
    |January 1, 1977
    PubMed
    Summary

    Global population growth is slowing. Accessible fertility control is key for developing nations to manage population dynamics and balance resources, despite varying socioeconomic conditions.

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    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Global Health
    • Sociology

    Background:

    • Global population growth is declining, with industrialized nations nearing stationary populations.
    • Developing countries face continued growth due to young demographics, despite falling birth rates.
    • Classical demographic transition theory is challenged by new evidence on fertility control.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To analyze the impact of fertility control on population dynamics.
    • To review the economic and ecological consequences of rapid population growth.
    • To outline priorities for balancing global population with environmental and economic systems.

    Main Methods:

    • Review of demographic data and trends.
    • Analysis of "fertility silhouettes" (age-specific fertility rates).
    • Examination of socioeconomic factors influencing fertility.

    Main Results:

    • Declining fertility is achievable even with high mortality or low development, given accessible fertility control.
    • Family planning programs demonstrate a measurable demographic impact.
    • Significant efforts are needed to rebalance global population with Earth's systems.

    Conclusions:

    • Devising acceptable fertility control methods is crucial for developing countries.
    • Addressing population growth requires consideration of healthcare infrastructure limitations.
    • Balancing population with resources necessitates a multi-faceted global effort.

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