Perspectives on academic health sciences libraries in the 1980s: indicators from a Delphi study

Area of Science:

• Library and Information Science
• Health Sciences Librarianship
• Future Studies

Background:

• Academic health sciences libraries are critical hubs for information and research support.
• Evolving technological landscapes necessitate adaptation in library services and roles.
• Understanding future trends is crucial for strategic planning in academic libraries.

Purpose of the Study:

• To identify anticipated changes in academic health sciences library roles and functions over the next decade.
• To explore the perceived drivers and barriers to change within these libraries.
• To develop scenarios for the future of academic health sciences libraries.

Main Methods:

• A Delphi study methodology was employed.
• Data were collected and analyzed from directors of academic health sciences libraries.
• Two distinct future scenarios (desirable and probable) were generated.

Main Results:

• Directors foresee moderate, evolutionary changes in library roles over the next ten years.
• Technology is identified as the primary driver of change, while users are seen as maintaining the status quo.
• Expansion of education and service roles for librarians is expected.
• Library and institutional priorities are perceived as obstacles to change.

Conclusions:

• Academic health sciences libraries are expected to undergo gradual evolution, integrating new technologies and expanding educational roles.
• Strategic alignment with institutional priorities and proactive technology adoption are key for navigating future changes.
• Librarians' roles will likely shift towards more service-oriented and educational functions.