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The global HIV pandemic

R L Stoneburner1, P Sato, A Burton

  • 1Global Programme on AIDS, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Acta Paediatrica (Oslo, Norway : 1992). Supplement
|August 1, 1994
PubMed
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By early 1993, over 13 million human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections occurred globally. The HIV pandemic is projected to cause 30-40 million infections by 2000, disproportionately affecting developing nations.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Global Health
  • Public Health

Background:

  • The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) pandemic emerged in the 1980s.
  • AIDS cases and HIV infections were rapidly increasing worldwide by early 1993.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To review the distribution and transmission patterns of the HIV pandemic.
  • To assess the likely impacts of the HIV pandemic in 1993 and beyond.

Main Methods:

  • Data compilation from the World Health Organization (WHO).
  • Estimation of cumulative AIDS cases and HIV infections.
  • Projection of future HIV infection trends.

Main Results:

  • As of early 1993, 611,589 AIDS cases were reported to WHO, with an estimated 2.5 million actual cases.

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  • Approximately 13 million cumulative HIV infections by early 1993, including 1 million in children.
  • Projected 30-40 million cumulative HIV infections by 2000, with 90% in developing countries and nearly half in women.

    • Conclusions:

    • The HIV epidemic of the 1980s will lead to an AIDS epidemic in the 1990s.
    • The pandemic will impose significant social and economic burdens, especially on developing countries.