[Statistical modelling of lung cancer mortality in the Czech Republic 1960-1989]

The author's aim is to analyze in more detail the temporal mortality trends from lung cancer in the Czech Republic in the age group from 35-69 years during 1960-1989, separately for men and women. Poisson's log-linear regression model revealed that the mortality in both sexes depended significantly on three time factors: age, year of birth and historical period. The dependence of mortality on the above factors was analyzed by Osmond-Gardner's method. The mortality increased in both sexes with age. The risk of death in male generations born between the beginning of the 19th century and the First World War declined, however, in generations born after 1915 it increased again with consecutive years of birth. In women the risk of death increased with the year of birth. The impact of five-year periods on mortality increased slowly, however, in women only from the first half of the seventies.