Predictors of survival after a positive post-irradiation prostate biopsy

Considerable debate persists in the urologic oncology literature with regard to the optimum management of patients with a positive post-irradiation prostate biopsy. This analysis characterizes a group of such patients who have had a favorable course without intervention.

Between 1956 and 1991, 116 patients have had a positive prostate biopsy 12 or more months post-irradiation without hormonal intervention or evidence of distant relapse. The population had an age range of 42 to 82 years (median - 61). American Joint Committee on Cancer stages included 1 T1, 70 T2, 44 T3, and 1 T4. Median actuarial survival for the entire population was 14.4 years (range = 2.2-21.5 years) from presentation and 5.2 years from re-biopsy.

Fifty-one of the 116 patients developed metastases subsequent to re-biopsy and 65 remain free from distant relapse. Among these 65 patients, 50 remain alive and otherwise well, 11 have died of other causes, and only four have succumbed to their local disease. The best predictor of distant relapse subsequent to re-biopsy was digital rectal exam. Forty-one of the 51 patients later developing metastases had an abnormal digital rectal exam compared to 37 of 65 with sustained distant control (p = .01).

These data demonstrate that long-term, disease-free (other than re-biopsy) survival is common following a "positive" post-irradiation biopsy without intervention especially among patients with a normal digital rectal exam. Therefore, routine re-biopsy without clinical indications is not a useful practice.