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Developing a quantitative risk assessment process

L Miller1, M D McElvaine, R M McDowell

  • 1United States Department of Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, Hyattsville, MD 20782.

Revue Scientifique Et Technique (International Office of Epizootics)
|December 1, 1993
PubMed
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Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is crucial for international animal health trade decisions. This article details QRA development, its value, and uncertainty quantification methods for improved global trade.

Area of Science:

  • Veterinary epidemiology
  • International trade policy
  • Risk analysis

Background:

  • International animal health relies on risk assessment for trade.
  • Current trade decisions often lack quantitative risk assessment (QRA).
  • Widespread QRA adoption is advocated by the animal health community.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To highlight the value of QRA in international trade.
  • To outline a process for developing QRA.
  • To describe methods for quantifying uncertainty in QRA.

Main Methods:

  • Review of QRA principles and applications in animal health.
  • Description of a step-by-step process for QRA development.
  • Explanation of techniques for uncertainty quantification in risk assessment.

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Main Results:

  • QRA provides a robust framework for evaluating risks in international trade.
  • A structured process for QRA development is presented.
  • Methods for assessing uncertainty are crucial for reliable risk assessment outcomes.

Conclusions:

  • Quantitative risk assessment is an invaluable tool for informed international animal trade decisions.
  • Implementing QRA requires a clear process and methods to address uncertainty.
  • Adoption of QRA can enhance the safety and efficiency of global animal product trade.