A system approach to pharmacodynamics. Input-effect control system analysis of central nervous system effect of...

Virtually all biological variables, including those affected by drugs, are subject to adaptive self regulation. In the description of the pharmacodynamics (PD) of drugs, it may be necessary to consider the endogenous control system (ECS) as an integral part of the PD. A PDECS model based on system analysis principles is presented and tested on PD data for alfentanil considering the central nervous system activity quantified by a power spectrum analysis of the electroencephalogram. The model was tested in terms of a proposed relative prediction performance criterion that measures the accuracy of future predictions relative to how well the model describes (fits) the past effect data. A mean value of 80% (standard deviation, 28) for relative prediction performance indicates that the model performs well when challenged by the complex multiple infusion scheme used in the test. The overshoot phenomenon observed in the data is considered by the PDECS model as a ECS-based tolerance phenomenon. The proposed development of tolerance is modeled as a variable gain in the ECS processing that influences the effect. Although the development and loss of tolerance is determined by a single rate constant in the tolerance model, the rates of increase and decrease of tolerance may be substantially different. Contrary to other PD tolerance models, the proposed PDECS approach models the tolerance in terms of an effect deviation from an ECS set point. The intrinsic (no tolerance) effect of the drug is isolated in terms of an open loop (no feedback) effect.