Long-term prognosis of mitral-valve prolapse

We examined the natural history of mitral-valve prolapse in 53 patients who had had a midsystolic click or late systolic murmur (or both) documented phonocardiographically a mean of 13.7 years earlier. Thirty-eight patients were alive without serious complications, and seven had died of unrelated causes. In two patients prolapse was implicated in the cause of death. Other complications were ventricular fibrillation in one patient and bacterial endocarditis in three. Progressive mitral regurgitation developed in five patients, requiring valve replacement in two. These complications occurred in a total of eight patients (15 per cent), and were significantly (P = 0.15) associated with a late systolic murmur rather than an isolated midsystolic click. Thus it appears that the diagnosis of mitral-valve prolapse should not be regarded as ominous; however, patients in whom this diagnosis is associated with a late systolic murmur should be followed carefully.