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Some factors associated with mortality in perforated peptic ulcer: a case-control study
J H McIntosh1, K Berman, F M Holliday
1Department of Medicine, University of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Abstract:
This study examined the associations of individual coexisting illnesses, septicaemia, intra-abdominal abscess, marital status, smoking and alcohol use, with mortality following perforation of peptic ulcer without pre-operative evidence of haemorrhage. Patients who died in hospital following ulcer perforation (cases; n = 300) were compared with patients who survived following ulcer perforation (controls; n = 276). The controls were frequency-matched to the cases on age, sex and perforation site. Data were analysed by logistic regression. Cardiac, respiratory, cerebrovascular, renal, liver and malignant diseases, and septicaemia and intra-abdominal abscess were associated with mortality and the coexisting illnesses were significantly increased in cases compared to controls both on admission and at the end of hospital stay. During hospitalization, the odds of pneumonia decreased in cases, otherwise there was little change in strengths of associations over this period. Being widowed or never married was positively associated with mortality, and moderate alcohol use was negatively associated. In conclusion, this study identifies several coexisting illnesses, septicaemia and intra-abdominal abscess as risk factors for mortality following ulcer perforation. The results suggest that, with little exception, the same level of mortality risk is associated with coexisting illnesses whether the beginning or end of hospital stay is used as the index time point.
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