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Guidelines for antihypertensive therapy: problems with a strategy based on absolute cardiovascular risk
1University of Otago Medical School, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Insights
Current guidelines suggest antihypertensive therapy based on 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. This paper argues for age-adjusted risk assessment and focusing on marginal hypertensive risk for better treatment selection.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Pharmacotherapy
Background:
- Current guidelines recommend antihypertensive therapy based on a 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) absolute risk exceeding 20%.
- This approach disproportionately favors treating the elderly while potentially under-treating middle-aged individuals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To critically evaluate the current risk-based strategy for antihypertensive therapy selection.
- To propose an alternative approach incorporating age-adjusted risk and marginal hypertensive risk.
Main Methods:
- The paper presents a theoretical argument and critical analysis of existing risk stratification models for hypertension.
- It discusses the implications of using a single time-frame for risk assessment across all age groups.
Main Results:
- A uniform 10-year risk threshold may lead to suboptimal treatment allocation, overemphasizing the elderly and under-treating the middle-aged.
- Focusing on marginal hypertensive risk, the component of CVD risk attributable to elevated blood pressure, may offer a more targeted approach.
Conclusions:
- The current absolute risk model for antihypertensive therapy requires re-evaluation, particularly concerning its age-specific implications.
- An inverse age-related adjustment and consideration of marginal hypertensive risk are suggested for more equitable and effective treatment selection.
- Further research and testing are needed before widespread adoption of any revised risk-based policy.
Abstract:
It has been suggested that selection for antihypertensive therapy should be based on absolute risk of a cardiovascular disease (CVD) event and that treatment should be offered only if the 10-year risk exceeds 20%. Although interesting and challenging, this strategy would have the effect of greatly emphasizing treatment of the elderly and downplaying treatment of the middle-aged. It is argued in this paper that the use of one and the same time-frame for all age groups is illogical; some inverse age-related adjustment is needed. In addition, it is suggested that selection for active treatment would be better based not on the total absolute risk of CVD but rather on the marginal hypertensive risk (i.e. that part of the total risk which can be attributed to raised blood pressure). Problems in the use of antihypertensive drugs in people with 'high normal' blood pressure in order to compensate for risk factors such as obesity, hyperlipidaemia and smoking are discussed. The effect of antihypertensive treatment administered in large-scale trials to the most hypertensive control subjects has been (and continues to be) largely ignored; it should be taken into account in all calculations in this field. A policy based on absolute risk is certainly worth examining but it should not be considered self-evidently correct and needs testing in all its aspects before it is adopted on a large scale.
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