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Published on: September 9, 2012
Fibrinogen, viscosity and the 10-year incidence of ischaemic heart disease
P M Sweetnam1, H F Thomas, J W Yarnell
1MRC Epidemiology Unit, Llandough Hospital, Penarth, U.K.
Insights
High fibrinogen and blood viscosity are strong, independent predictors of long-term ischaemic heart disease risk in men. These factors significantly increase the likelihood of developing heart disease over time.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology
- Hemodynamics
- Biomarkers of Cardiovascular Disease
Background:
- Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide.
- Identifying reliable predictors of IHD risk is crucial for effective prevention strategies.
- Previous studies suggested roles for fibrinogen and blood viscosity, but long-term independent predictive power required further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the ten-year predictive value of fibrinogen and blood viscosity for ischaemic heart disease risk.
- To determine if fibrinogen and viscosity are independent predictors of IHD after accounting for other cardiovascular risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Utilized ten-year follow-up data from the prospective Caerphilly and Speedwell studies.
- Included a representative sample of middle-aged males (n=4860).
- Defined IHD morbidity and mortality using hospital records, ECGs, and death certificates; analyzed 603 incident events.
Main Results:
- Elevated levels of fibrinogen and viscosity were associated with significantly increased IHD risk (relative odds 3.3 and 3.4, respectively).
- After adjusting for major cardiovascular risk factors, both fibrinogen (OR 2.2) and viscosity (OR 2.3) remained significant independent predictors.
- Joint analysis confirmed both factors as significant predictors (P < 0.01), with increasing IHD incidence observed with higher levels of either marker.
Conclusions:
- Fibrinogen and blood viscosity are powerful, long-term, and independent predictors of ischaemic heart disease risk.
- These hemorheological markers provide valuable prognostic information beyond traditional risk factors.
- Findings underscore the importance of considering fibrinogen and viscosity in cardiovascular risk assessment.
Aims:
To use the ten year follow-up of the Caerphilly and Speedwell studies to assess the contributions of fibrinogen and viscosity to the prediction of risk of ischaemic heart disease.
Methods And Results:
Caerphilly and Speedwell are prospective studies based on representative samples of middle-aged males. Ischaemic heart disease morbidity and mortality were defined using hospital notes, repeat electro-cardiographs and death certificates. There were 603 incident events among the 4860 men. Age-adjusted relative odds of ischaemic heart disease increased to 3.3 and 3.4 in the 20% of men with the highest levels of fibrinogen and viscosity, respectively. After standardizing for the major cardiovascular risk factors, these relative odds were 2.2 (95% confidence interval 1.6 to 3.1) for fibrinogen and 2.3 (95% confidence interval 1.7 to 3.2) for viscosity. When fibrinogen and viscosity were entered jointly, both remained significant (P < 0.01) predictors. Incidence of ischaemic heart disease increased with increasing fibrinogen at every level of viscosity, and vice versa. Interactions with lipids were also examined. There was no support for the suggestion that risk is independent of cholesterol level when fibrinogen is low.
Conclusions:
Fibrinogen and viscosity are powerful, long term and independent predictors of the risk of ischaemic heart disease.
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