On the recording of sample times and parameter estimation from repeated measures pharmacokinetic data

A pharmacokinetic screen has been advocated for the characterization of the population pharmacokinetics of drugs during Phase 3 clinical trials. A common perception encountered in the collection of such data is that the accuracy of sampling times relative to dose is inadequate. A prospective simulation study was carried out to evaluate the effect of error in the recording of sampling times on the accuracy and precision of population parameter estimates from repeated measures pharmacokinetic data. A two-compartment model with intravenous bolus input(s) (single and multiple doses) was assumed. Random and systematic error in sampling times ranging from 5-50% using profile (block) randomized design were introduced. Sampling times were simulated in EXCEL while concentration data simulation and analysis were done in NONMEM. The effect of error in sampling times was studied at levels of variability ranging from 15-45% for a drug assumed to be dosed at its elimination half-life. One hundred replicate data sets of 100 subjects each were simulated for each case. Although estimates of clearance (CL) and variability in clearance were robust for most of the sampling time errors, there was an increase in bias and imprecision in overall parameter estimation as intersubject variability was increased. If there is interest in parameters other than CL, then the design of prospective population studies should include procedures for minimizing the error in the recording of sample times relative to dosing history.