Prediction of birth weight using the Rossavik growth model: a study in a Dutch population

To evaluate the Rossavik growth model for predicting birth weight in a Dutch population and to evaluate growth cessation near term.

Birth weight was predicted at various ages between 38 and 42 weeks, menstrual age (MA), and at birth age in 50 normal infants using two sets of ultrasound measurements obtained before 28 weeks, MA. Predicted birth weights were compared to actual weights. The mean percentage difference was used as a measure of systematic error and the standard deviation as a measure of random error. Linear regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between percentage differences and birth age. To evaluate the individual growth potential, the Growth Potential Realization Index for weight (GPRIWT) was determined for each fetus.

The predictions at 39 and 39.15 weeks, MA, were accurate without systematic error and with a random error of +/-9.3%. Prediction at 38 weeks showed a statistical underestimation (mean +/- SD = -5.8% +/- 8.8), and statistical overestimations were found for predictions after 39.15 weeks and at birth age. A relationship between percentage differences and birth age was not found for predictions between 39.15 and 40 weeks, MA. These findings indicate that growth cessation occurred at 39.15 weeks, MA. Using birth weights predicted at 39.15 weeks, MA, GPRIWT were calculated. The mean GPRIWT value was not significantly different from 100% (p > 0.05), and individual GPRIWT values ranged from 84% to 114%.

The Rossavik growth model can be used to predict birth weight in a Dutch population. However, growth cessation near term appears to occur later than previously reported in other populations.