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Recidivism in convicted rapists

P Firestone1, J M Bradford, M McCoy

  • 1School of Psychology, University of Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. fireston@uottawa.ca

The Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law
|July 17, 1998
PubMed
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Recidivism in men convicted of rape is common, with over half reoffending within 12 years. Early family removal and alcohol problems significantly increase the risk of criminal recidivism.

Area of Science:

  • Forensic Psychology
  • Criminology
  • Psychiatry

Background:

  • Recidivism among individuals convicted of rape poses a significant challenge to public safety and rehabilitation efforts.
  • Understanding the factors contributing to reoffending is crucial for developing effective interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify factors associated with sexual, violent, and general criminal recidivism in a cohort of men convicted of rape.
  • To evaluate the predictive utility of various psychological and demographic variables for recidivism.

Main Methods:

  • A study of 86 men convicted of rape, followed for up to 12 years post-release.
  • Assessment of demographic data, childhood experiences (family removal), alcohol use (Michigan Alcohol Screening Test - MAST), sexual functioning (Derogatis Sexual Functioning Inventory), hostility (Buss-Durkee Hostility Inventory), and psychopathy (Psychopathy Checklist-R).

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Main Results:

  • Recidivism rates were 16% for sexual, 26% for violent, and 53% for any criminal offense.
  • Early removal from the family home before age 16 was associated with sexual and violent recidivism.
  • Higher MAST scores, younger age, and prior criminal charges/convictions predicted general criminal recidivism.
  • Sexual and violent recidivism were poorly predicted by the assessed variables.
  • Poor sexual adjustment and significant alcohol problems were prevalent in the study group.

Conclusions:

  • Predicting sexual and violent recidivism in rapists remains challenging.
  • Childhood adversity and alcohol misuse are significant risk factors for general criminal recidivism in this population.
  • Combined age and MAST scores showed moderate predictive accuracy for non-recidivism.