HLA haplotype sharing in rheumatoid arthritis sibships: risk estimates subdivided by proband genotype

There is a well-known association between rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and HLA-DR4. Recent research has indicated that both DR4 haplotypes are important in disease predisposition (favoring a recessive mode of inheritance). Others have suggested that certain combinations of genotypes, in particular Dw4/Dw14 heterozygotes, may be more important than others. We examined the mode of inheritance of RA using data from the Arthritis and Rheumatism Council's national repository of family material [Worthington et al. (1994) Br J Rheumatol 33:970-976]. There were 85 affected sibships consisting of 77 sib pairs, 6 trios, 1 quintuplet, and 1 sextuplet. The affected sibs shared two, one, and zero parental HLA haplotypes in a ratio of 0.42:0.43:0.15, which was significantly different from random expectations (P = 0.00009). Risk estimates for RA to sibs were calculated based on an overall sibling recurrence risk of 3.9%. Risks for those sharing two, one, and zero parental HLA haplotypes were 6.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.1-7.9%], 3.3% (95% CI = 2.6-4.0%), and 2.5% (95% CI = 1.5-3.5%), respectively. We also examined the risk of RA based on the DRbeta1 genotype status of sib and proband. After excluding genotypic combinations with small numbers, the highest genotype-specific risks were seen for sibs sharing two haplotypes with either a DRbeta1*0401/DRbeta1*0404 (12.5%, 95% CI = 6.9-15.2%) or a DRbeta1*0401/DRbeta1*0408 (11.1%, 95% CI = 4.5-15.1%) proband. An independent assessment based on the AGFAP methodology confirmed the increase in risk for these genotypes, in particular for DRbeta1*0401/DRbeta1*0408. The excess being due to *0401/*0408 rather than to *0401/*0404 may explain why the Dw4/Dw14 effect is not always observed.