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The curse of the pharaoh hypothesis
1Laboratoire d'Ecologie, CNRS-UMR 7625, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France. sylvain.gandon@snv.jussieu.fr
Higher parasite survival generally leads to increased virulence, especially with multiple infections. This effect is amplified when parasite dispersal and virulence coevolve, impacting disease management strategies.
Area of Science:
- Evolutionary Biology
- Parasitology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- The 'curse of the pharaoh' metaphor links pathogen survival to virulence.
- Previous hypotheses suggest higher parasite propagule survival selects for increased virulence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between parasite virulence and propagule survival.
- To derive an analytic expression for the evolutionarily stable level of parasite virulence.
Main Methods:
- Mathematical modeling of host-parasite systems at ecological equilibrium.
- Derivation of an analytic expression for virulence as a function of propagule survival.
Main Results:
- Higher propagule survival generally increases parasite virulence when multiple infections occur.
- The effect of propagule survival on virulence is enhanced by coevolving parasite dispersal.
- Inclusive effects of transmission ability significantly influence virulence evolution.
Conclusions:
- Parasite virulence is positively correlated with propagule survival under multiple infection conditions.
- Coevolution of dispersal and virulence amplifies this relationship.
- Understanding inclusive effects is crucial for effective virulence management.
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