Disequilibrium likelihoods for fine-scale mapping of a rare allele

Genetic linkage studies based on pedigree data have limited resolution, because of the relatively small number of segregations. Disequilibrium mapping, which uses population associations to infer the location of a disease mutation, provides one possible strategy for narrowing the candidate region. The coalescent process provides a model for the ancestry of a sample of disease alleles, and recombination events between disease locus and marker may be placed on this ancestral phylogeny. These events define the recombinant classes, the sets of sampled disease copies descending from the meiosis at which a given recombination occurred. We show how Monte Carlo generation of the recombinant classes leads to a linkage likelihood for fine-scale mapping from disease haplotypes. We compare single-marker disequilibrium mapping with interval-disequilibrium mapping and discuss how the approach may be extended to multipoint-disequilibrium mapping. The method and its properties are illustrated with an example of simulated data, constructed to be typical of fine-scale mapping of a rare disease in the Japanese population. The method can take into account known features of population history, such as changing patterns of population growth.