地球のエネルギー不均衡:確認と影響
James Hansen1, Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy
1NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA. jhansen@giss.nasa.gov
まとめ
地球は温室効果ガスによる余分な太陽エネルギーを吸収し,エネルギー不均衡を大きく引き起こしています. これは,将来の温暖化と海面上昇の加速を示しており,積極的な気候変動緩和戦略が必要である.
科学分野:
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 地球システム科学 地球システム科学
- 大気物理学 大気物理学
背景:
- 地球のエネルギーバランスは,温室効果ガスやエアロゾールによって影響を受けます.
- エネルギー不均衡の正確な測定は,気候予測にとって極めて重要です.
研究 の 目的:
- 地球の現在のエネルギー不均衡を定量化するために.
- 観測されたエネルギー不均衡に基づいて,将来の気候変動の影響を予測する.
主な方法:
- 温室効果ガスやエアロゾールなどの強制力によって引き起こされる気候モデルを利用した.
- 10年間の海洋熱量含有量測定で確認されたモデル計算.
主要な成果:
- 計算すると,地球は,放射するよりも0.85 +/- 0.15 W/m2の太陽エネルギーを吸収しています.
- 観測された海洋熱量の増加は,計算されたエネルギー不均衡を裏付けている.
結論:
- 更に大気の変化なしに0.6°Cの地球温暖化が予測されている.
- 気候システムの遅延を強調し,予期的な気候対策を必要とした.
- 氷床の崩壊の加速と海面上昇の可能性があることが示されています.
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