在保释决定中衡量种族歧视
David Arnold1, Will Dobbie2, Peter Hull3
1University of California, San Diego.
概括
新的准实验工具揭示,保释决定的差异影响解释了审前释放率的种族差异的三分之二. 这项研究确定了种族偏见和统计歧视作为关键驱动因素.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学和刑事司法 犯罪学和刑事司法
- 量化社会科学 量化社会科学
- 公共政策分析 公共政策分析
背景情况:
- 审前释放的决定对被告的法律和个人结果产生重大影响.
- 现有的审判前释放率的比较经常被遗漏的变量偏差所混.
- 衡量保释决定中的差异性影响需要强大的准实验方法.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用新的准实验工具来衡量保释决定的不同影响.
- 量化不同影响对在审前释放率中的种族差异的贡献.
- 调查不同影响的潜在驱动因素,包括种族偏见和统计歧视.
主要方法:
- 利用法官的准随机分配来清除在释放率比较中遗漏的变量偏差.
- 通过使用仪器变量,按种族估计了审判前不当行为的平均风险.
- 开发并应用一个层次的边际治疗效应模型来分析不同的影响驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 纽约市白人和黑人被告之间的释放率差异的三分之二是由于不同影响造成的.
- 该研究发现证据支持种族偏见和统计歧视作为导致差异影响的因素.
- 开发的准实验工具有效地将发布决策的影响与其他混因素隔离起来.
结论:
- 在保释决定中的不平等影响是审前司法系统种族差异的一个重要驱动因素.
- 准实验方法对于准确测量和理解不同影响至关重要.
- 在保释决定中解决种族偏见和统计歧视对于促进公平至关重要.
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