在测试负的设计研究中,可识别因果效应
Ian Shrier1, Steven D Stovitz2, Johannes Textor3,4
1Centre for Clinical Epidemiology, Lady Davis Institute, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
International journal of epidemiology
|July 14, 2023
概括
因果定向非循环图 (DAG) 对于识别因果效应至关重要. 然而,标准的后门标准在基于结果的抽样中失败了,需要在这些研究中使用因果推理的新图形规则.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 因果推理因果推理
背景情况:
- 因果定向非循环图 (DAG) 是因果效应识别中变量选择的标准工具.
- 基于结果的抽样,就像疫苗有效性测试负面设计一样,带来了传统的DAG标准无法处理的独特挑战.
- 在基于结果的抽样中,共同的后门标准不足以确定人口平均因果关系.
研究的目的:
- 图形地解释为什么标准后门标准对于基于结果的抽样研究是不够的.
- 在基于结果的抽样中引入因果推理的替代图形规则.
- 展示 Dagitty 软件的更新,以反映这些新原则.
主要方法:
- 利用因果定向非循环图 (DAG) 的直观图形解释.
- 开发并描述了适用于基于结果的采样的新图形规则.
- 在Dagitty软件中的插图修改.
主要成果:
- 证明了后门标准在基于结果的抽样中用于因果效应识别的局限性.
- 提供了替代图形标准,以评估在此类研究中因果概率比率的可识别性.
- 展示了将这些原则集成到Dagitty软件中的方法.
结论:
- 在基于结果的抽样中,标准的后门标准不适合人口平均因果效应.
- 新的图形规则是必要的,并且已经在这些特定的研究设计中开发了因果推理.
- 达吉蒂软件已经更新,以支持这些先进的因果推理方法.
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