恐怖主义和儿童死亡率
Daniel Meierrieks1, Max Schaub1,2
1WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Berlin, Germany.
Health economics
|September 17, 2023
概括
恐怖主义显著增加了非洲的儿童死亡率,每年造成数千人死亡. 这种影响源于间接的经济和行为影响,而不是直接的暴力.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 发展经济学 发展经济学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 儿童死亡率仍然是一个关键的全球卫生挑战,特别是在发展中国家.
- 恐怖主义是一个日益严重的安全问题,具有潜在的,但尚未研究的社会经济后果.
- 了解冲突对弱势群体的多方面的影响对于有效的政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查52个非洲国家的恐怖主义和儿童死亡率之间的因果关系.
- 量化归因于恐怖主义的儿童死亡的规模.
- 探索恐怖主义影响儿童死亡率的机制.
主要方法:
- 利用了关于恐怖主义事件的地理编码数据和空间分类的儿童死亡率数据.
- 分析了2000年至2017年的52个非洲国家的数据,以0.5°x0.5°的网格水平.
- 采用面板事件研究方法来评估经济影响和间接影响.
主要成果:
- 恐怖主义的适度增加与每年数千名5岁以下儿童的额外死亡相关.
- 恐怖主义的经济后果是巨大的,随着时间的推移而复合.
- 恐怖主义对儿童死亡率的直接影响是最小的;通过行为改变的间接影响是主要的.
结论:
- 恐怖主义通过父母,医疗保健工作者和政策制定者的不良行为反应间接推动儿童死亡率.
- 需要针对社会经济因素和行为适应的政策干预,以减轻恐怖主义对儿童生存的影响.
- 需要进一步的研究,以充分阐明将恐怖主义与儿童死亡率联系在一起的复杂途径.
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