可再生能源的发展是否会危及电力供应的可靠性?
Wenbing Zhou1,2, Songlin Tang3
1Economic School, Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai, 264005, China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|April 11, 2024
概括
可再生能源 (RED) 的发展影响了中国的电力供应可靠性. 虽然红色的红色.
科学领域:
- 能源系统工程 能源系统工程
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 电力系统可靠性 电力系统可靠性
背景情况:
- 全球向低碳能源系统的转变需要整合可再生能源.
- 可再生能源的发展 (RED) 给电力系统可靠性 (PSR) 带来了复杂性和不确定性.
- 了解RED和PSR之间的细微关系对于可持续能源转型至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查可再生能源发展对中国电力供应可靠性的影响.
- 分析RED对PSR影响的区域差异.
- 确定影响RED和PSR之间的关系的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 利用来自中国的2012-2020年范围内的省级数据.
- 雇员小组数据分析和一个小组值模型.
- 评估了可再生能源发展对电力供应可靠性的影响.
主要成果:
- 随着时间的推移,RED对PSR的负面影响已经减少.
- 有理性的RED策略可以增强PSR.
- 与能源进口地区相比,能源出口地区面临来自RED的PSR风险更大.
- 稳定的煤炭价格和可管理的自然灾害促进了RED对PSR的积极影响.
- 不稳定的条件加剧了PSR问题,可再生能源的透率很高.
结论:
- RED和PSR之间的关系取决于上下文,并受到外部因素的影响.
- 需要进行政策干预,以减轻风险并优化RED以改善PSR.
- 开发新的电力系统需要仔细考虑RED对可靠性的影响.
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