对不平衡的多变量季节性时间序列数据进行空间时间不可知样本采集:森林火灾研究
Abdul Mutakabbir1, Chung-Horng Lung2, Kshirasagar Naik3
1Department of Data Science, Analytics, and Artificial Intelligence, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, Canada.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|February 13, 2025
概括
本研究引入了空间时间不可知样本 (STAS) 来解决森林火灾预测数据不平衡的问题. STAS有效地改进了火灾概率分类和严重程度评估模型.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 地理空间分析的研究.
背景情况:
- 自然灾害,包括森林火灾,由于季节性和人为因素造成的重大威胁.
- 森林火灾的频率和破坏性正在增加,影响生态系统和经济.
- 森林火灾的预测建模受到高度不平衡的数据集 (每次火灾事件超过10万个非火灾事件) 的挑战.
研究的目的:
- 引入一种新的数据采样技术,即空间时间不可知样本 (STAS),用于处理森林火灾预测中不平衡的时间序列数据.
- 为STAS提供数学框架和复杂性分析,将其与NearMiss和SMOTE等现有方法进行比较.
- 评估STAS在改善森林火灾概率分类和严重程度评估模型方面的有效性.
主要方法:
- 空间时间不可知样本 (STAS) 框架的开发和数学表述.
- 复杂性分析将STAS与NearMiss和SMOTE进行比较.
- 实施二进制分类和回归模型,使用STAS生成的数据进行火灾预测和严重程度评估.
- 通过432个实验和额外的时间数据分割分析进行了广泛的验证.
主要成果:
- 在处理不平衡的多变量季节时间序列数据方面,STAS表现出卓越的性能.
- 基于STAS数据构建的二进制分类模型在216个实验中,在180个实验中获得了F1评分>0.9.
- 在216个实验中的150个实验中,用于火灾严重性评估的回归模型在150个实验中获得了R2评分>0.75.
结论:
- 空间时间不可知样本采集 (STAS) 框架对于改善森林火灾预测模型非常有效.
- STAS成功地解决了季节性,多变量时间序列数据集中高度不平衡数据的挑战.
- 经过验证的STAS性能表明它在现实世界森林火灾预警系统中具有重要的适用性.
关键词:
在SMOTE中使用.大数据分析大数据分析气候变化 气候变化 气候变化深度学习是一种深度学习.不断变化的数据.多变量时间序列.天然火灾灾难的自然灾害.接近失误的近距离失误实时数据采样实时数据采样传感器 传感器 传感器进行不足抽样.更多相关视频
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