一个关于技术灾难的论宣传模型
Yi Zhang1, Wanjie Tang2, Ting Ni3
1Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Management School, Zigong, 643000, China. zhangyiyi@scu.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|March 6, 2025
概括
在技术灾难期间的论动态可以使用传染病方法来建模. 有效的政府反应对于管理公众看法至关重要,即使问责不清楚.
科学领域:
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
- 公众论的动态 公众论的动态
- 数学建模的数学建模
背景情况:
- 技术灾难极大地影响了公众的看法.
- 了解论的传播对于有效的危机管理至关重要.
- 现有的模型可能无法完全捕捉到技术灾难的细微差别.
研究的目的:
- 为技术灾难制定和验证公众论传播模型.
- 确定影响论传播的关键因素.
- 在此类活动期间为管理论提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 适应传染病模型的技术灾难.
- 微分方程稳定理论和下一代矩阵方法的应用.
- 使用Shiyan气体爆炸的微博数据进行案例研究分析.
主要成果:
- 灾难的严重程度,政府的反应和问责制被确定为论传播的关键驱动因素.
- 与现有模型相比,开发的模型证明了可行性和有效性.
- 积极的政府反应可以减轻负面的论,不管问责制.
结论:
- 拟议的模型提供了一个强大的框架,用于分析在技术灾难期间的论.
- 有效的政府沟通和响应策略对于论管理至关重要.
- 政策干预应侧重于提高政府的响应能力和透明度.
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