全球土壤湿度-降雨合的潜在因果途径
Jing Sun1, Kun Yang2,3, Xiaogang He4
1Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Institute for Global Change Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Nature communications
|October 8, 2025
概括
表面土壤的湿度显著影响全球降水,通过感应热量和蒸发透气介导. 了解这些陆地-大气合路径对于改善气候模型和预测至关重要.
科学领域:
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 水文学 水文学
背景情况:
- 表面土壤湿度-降水 (SSM-P) 合对于气候动态至关重要.
- 感知热 (SH) 和蒸发转化是关键的媒介,但它们的全球机制尚不清楚.
- 这种知识差距阻碍了准确的水文气象预测.
研究的目的:
- 调查全球SSM-P合路径及其潜在机制.
- 为了确定陆地与大气相互作用的热点.
- 评估气候模型在模拟这些过程中的表现.
主要方法:
- 使用一种信息流技术,应用于卫星观测和重新分析数据.
- 分析了全球陆地面积,以确定SSM对降水的影响.
- 研究了感知热和蒸发转化在合通路中的作用.
主要成果:
- 在全球大约16%的土地上确定了SSM对降水的影响.
- 发现了八个合热点,其中SH介导的途径在全球占主导地位.
- 在非洲热点地区存在明显的例外,这些热点主要是通过蒸发转化介导的途径,与水分和边界层的变化有关.
- 发现强的合与高SSM可变性相关,特别是在SSM-SH-P.
结论:
- 大多数CMIP6模型不充分表示观察到的SSM-P合模式.
- 只有少数模型准确地捕获了从ERA5数据中获得的变异性-因果关系.
- 拟议的基于过程的指标,以加强气候模型对陆地与大气相互作用的评估.
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