评估多来源降水数据,以使用SWAT模型进行溪流模拟,用于中国西北部阿尔卑斯山玛纳斯河流域的SWAT模型
Li Tan1, Chanjuan Zan2,3, Tie Liu4
1School of Geophysics, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, 610059, China.
Scientific reports
|December 15, 2025
概括
在新疆评估四种降水产品 (CMFD,MSWEP,ERA5-LAND,IMERG).
科学领域:
- 水文和远程传感技术
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 降水产品的适用性因地形和气候而因地区而异.
- 准确的降水数据对于在寒冷的高山盆地进行水文建模至关重要.
- 了解多源降水产品的性能是提高模型准确性的关键.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较四个降水产品 (CMFD,MSWEP,ERA5-LAND,IMERG) 在干旱的新疆的准确性.
- 评估这些产品适用于高山玛纳斯河流域的流动模拟.
- 为缺乏数据的阿尔卑斯山地区提供水文建模和水资源管理的参考资料.
主要方法:
- 用于降水量和事件检测的综合指数.
- 采用土壤和水评估工具 (SWAT) 模型进行溪流模拟.
- 分析了不同季节和强度级别的差异和表现.
主要成果:
- 所有产品都显示出一致的年内模式,但夏季出现了显著的差异.
- IMERG低估了月度总额,但在7月至8月份高估了; ERA5-Land显示了大量的高估.
- CMFD表现出最佳的降水性能;基于MSWEP的流动模拟产生了最好的结果 (NSE>0.65,PBIAS<15%).
结论:
- CMFD提供了最好的整体降水精度,而MSWEP最适合于马纳斯河流域的流动模拟.
- ERA5-LAND和CMFD导致了持续的流量过高估计.
- 该研究为在数据稀缺的高山环境中选择降水数据提供了宝贵的见解.
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