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Prediction of mortality using dobutamine echocardiography
T H Marwick1, C Case, S Sawada
1Department of Medicine, University of Queensland, Australia. tmarwick@medicine.pa.uq.edu.au
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
|November 6, 2001
Summary
Dobutamine echocardiography (DbE) independently predicts cardiac mortality, offering valuable insights beyond traditional clinical and angiographic data. A normal DbE indicates a low annual cardiac death risk, which rises with abnormal heart wall motion.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
- Prognostic Biomarkers
Background:
- Existing dobutamine echocardiography (DbE) studies often used composite endpoints and short follow-up periods.
- Clinical and stress data were gathered from 3,156 patients undergoing DbE.
- Coronary angiography in 1,073 patients revealed significant stenoses in 70%.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if dobutamine echocardiography (DbE) provides independent prediction of total and cardiac mortality.
- To assess if DbE's predictive power is incremental to clinical and angiographic variables.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Cox models to analyze mortality predictors in 3,156 patients over nine years.
- Collected clinical, stress, and DbE data, including resting left ventricular function.
- Assessed the incremental predictive value of DbE and coronary anatomy in sequential models.
Main Results:
- Dobutamine echocardiograms were abnormal in 50% of patients; 23% experienced total mortality and 8% cardiac mortality.
- Ischemia and extent of abnormal wall motion were independent predictors of cardiac death, along with age and heart failure.
- DbE significantly enhanced the predictive power of clinical data for mortality.
Conclusions:
- Dobutamine echocardiography is a valuable, independent predictor of mortality, adding to existing clinical and angiographic information.
- A normal DbE is associated with a low annual cardiac death risk (approx. 1%).
- The risk of cardiac death increases with the severity of abnormal heart wall motion identified by DbE.