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Cohort size effects and migration.

F D Wilson

    The International Migration Review
    |October 1, 1983
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Large U.S. labor force cohorts did not negatively impact migrant socioeconomic status. A decline in migration volume, particularly among the baby boom cohort, served as the main adjustment, preserving migrant opportunities.

    Area of Science:

    • Labor economics
    • Sociology
    • Demographics

    Background:

    • Understanding the impact of labor force dynamics on migration patterns is crucial for economic and social policy.
    • Previous research has not fully explored the relationship between U.S. cohort size and migrant outcomes.
    • The socioeconomic standing of migrants is influenced by various factors, including labor market conditions and cohort size.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To investigate the effect of U.S. labor force cohort size on migration propensity.
    • To determine if cohort size influences the socioeconomic circumstances of migrants at their destination.
    • To analyze the adjustment mechanisms employed when large cohorts enter the labor force.

    Main Methods:

    • Analysis of U.S. labor force data from 1965-1976.
    Keywords:
    AmericasBaby BoomCohort AnalysisDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesEconomic FactorsHuman ResourcesLabor ForceMigrationMigration, InternalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsSocioeconomic StatusUnited States

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  • Examination of migration flows to large Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSAs).
  • Statistical assessment of the relationship between cohort size, migration, and migrant socioeconomic standing.

    • Main Results:

    • The flow of young in-migrants to large SMSAs decreased between 1965 and 1976.
    • Migrant socioeconomic standing at destination remained unaffected by cohort size.
    • Regional economic growth differentials did not significantly alter migrant socioeconomic outcomes.
    • A reduction in migration volume among the baby boom cohort was identified as a key adjustment factor.

    Conclusions:

    • Changes in U.S. labor force cohort size do not appear to degrade migrant opportunities.
    • The primary adjustment mechanism involves a reduction in migration volume, particularly from large cohorts.
    • Policy implications suggest that managing labor force entry does not necessitate compromising migrant socioeconomic well-being.