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Great expectations: the 21st century health workforce
1Department of Surgery, 167 Burnett-Womack Clinical Science Bldg., University of North Carolina Medical School, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7050, USA. gsheldon@med.unc.edu
Abstract:
Health workforce studies have mostly predicted an oversupply of physicians, a shortage of primary care doctors, and an excess of specialists. As the target date of many of these studies is now passed, it is clear that we are evolving into a shortage of physicians, especially specialists, and that primary care will increasingly be done by nonphysician clinicians. The "knowledge society" requires a different workforce than that predicted by most health planners.
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