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Judging confidence influences decision processing in comparative judgments.
William M Petrusic1, Joseph V Baranski
1Department of Psychology, Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. bill_petrusic@carleton.ca
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
|May 16, 2003
Summary
This study reveals that confidence judgments influence decision-making processes. Requiring confidence ratings impacts decision times, suggesting confidence processing occurs both during and after decisions.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Human Judgment and Decision-Making
Background:
- Current theories on confidence in human judgment categorize it as either part of the primary decision process (decisional locus) or occurring after the decision (postdecisional locus).
- Neither theoretical framework adequately explains how confidence judgments themselves might influence the primary decision-making process.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of requiring confidence judgments on the characteristics of the decision-making process.
- To examine whether confidence processing affects the primary decision itself.
Main Methods:
- Participants performed a sensory discrimination task.
- The study analyzed the time taken to make confidence judgments and overall decision response times.
- Confidence judgments were explicitly required from participants.
Main Results:
- Analysis of the time to determine confidence provided evidence for postdecisional confidence processing.
- The necessity of making confidence judgments significantly extended overall decision response times.
- These findings suggest that some aspects of confidence processing occur concurrently with the primary decision.
Conclusions:
- The study challenges existing models of confidence by demonstrating its influence on the primary decision process.
- Findings indicate a more integrated role for confidence processing than previously assumed by decisional or postdecisional locus theories.
- Confidence judgments appear to modulate decision dynamics, affecting both response time and potentially the decision itself.