The stability of the glomerular filtration rate after renal transplantation is improving

The 6-mo function and the stability of function posttransplantation in 429 cadaver renal transplants was investigated from 1990 to 2000. The 6-mo creatinine clearance (CrCl) and the rate of change of CrCl beyond 6 mo posttransplantation were calculated. The mean 6-mo CrCl was 64.6 +/- 1.1 ml/min and was stable between 1990 and 2000. The net slope of CrCl was -1.4 +/- 0.5 ml/min per yr. The slope has improved in recent years, such that the mean slopes in the period after 1997 are actually positive (+3.5 ml/min per yr). The slope of CrCl beyond 6 mo was not related to the actual value of the 6 mo CrCl, i.e., there was no accelerated loss of function at low CrCl levels. The 6-mo CrCl was independently determined by donor factors (age, gender), recipient factors (age, gender), and immune factors (rejection episodes, regraft status). The slope of the CrCl correlated independently with the transplant year, recipient gender, rejection episodes, diastolic BP, and the choice of immunosuppressive drugs. Cytomegalovirus infection and mismatch status and lipid levels and treatment were not independently associated with slope or 6-mo CrCl. Thus, the most striking change in the course of renal transplants over the past decade is the new stability of function, correlating with reduced rejection and probably due at least in part to the new immunosuppressive agents. Despite continued calcineurin inhibitor use, late improvement in function now occurs in many cadaver kidney transplants, suggesting a previously unappreciated capacity for functional adaptation.