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Epidemiology of measles in the United States, 1997-2001
Mark J Papania1, Jane F Seward, Susan B Redd
1National Immunization Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia 30333, USA. mpapania@cdc.gov.
Abstract:
Of the 540 measles cases (annual incidence, less than 1/million population) reported during 1997-2001 in the United States, 362 (67%) were associated with international importation: 196 imported cases, 138 cases epidemiologically linked to imported cases, and 28 cases associated with an imported measles virus genotype. The remaining 178 (33%) "unknown-source" cases were analyzed as potential evidence of endemic measles transmission. A total of 83 counties (2.6% of the 3140 US counties) in 27 states reported unknown-source cases; 49 counties reported only 1 unknown-source case, and the maximum reported by any county was 10. Nationally, unknown-source cases were reported in 103 of the 260 weeks. The largest unknown-source outbreak included 13 cases and lasted 5 weeks. The rarity of unknown-source cases, wide gaps in geographic and temporal distribution, and the short duration of the longest unknown-source outbreak indicate that endemic transmission of measles was not sustained in the United States during this period.
Insights
Measles importation drove most US cases from 1997-2001. Analysis of "unknown-source" cases revealed no sustained endemic measles transmission, indicating strong disease control.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Disease Control
- Public Health Surveillance
Background:
- Measles (Morbillivirus) poses a significant public health threat globally.
- Maintaining measles elimination requires robust surveillance to detect and respond to imported cases and potential endemic transmission.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the extent of endemic measles transmission in the United States between 1997 and 2001.
- To analyze the characteristics of measles cases with unknown sources of infection.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of reported measles cases in the US from 1997-2001.
- Categorization of cases based on importation, epidemiological linkage, or unknown source.
- Geographic and temporal analysis of unknown-source measles cases.
Main Results:
- Of 540 measles cases, 67% were linked to international importation.
- 178 cases (33%) had unknown sources, reported sporadically across 83 counties in 27 states.
- The largest unknown-source outbreak involved 13 cases over 5 weeks, indicating limited local spread.
Conclusions:
- The rarity, geographic dispersion, and short duration of unknown-source cases suggest measles was not sustained endemically in the US during 1997-2001.
- Continued vigilance for imported measles and prompt response are crucial for maintaining elimination status.
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