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Published on: August 25, 2017
A new staging strategy for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Martin R Miller1, Ole F Pedersen, Asger Dirksen
1Department of Medicine, University Hospital Birmingham NHS Trust, Birmingham, UK. martin.miller@uhb.nhs.uk
For chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) survival, FEV1/height squared (FEV1/ht2) is a superior predictor compared to FEV1 percent predicted (FEV1PP). This improved staging method offers better patient stratification than the current GOLD guidelines.
Area of Science:
- Pulmonary Medicine
- Respiratory Health
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- The optimal method for assessing lung function impairment in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains under investigation.
- Current staging systems may not accurately reflect survival outcomes in COPD patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the efficacy of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) percent predicted (FEV1PP) versus FEV1 divided by height squared (FEV1/ht2) in predicting survival among COPD patients.
- To evaluate a novel staging system based on FEV1/ht2 against the established Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) staging.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1095 COPD patients was followed for 15 years.
- Forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), FEV1PP, and FEV1/ht2 measurements were recorded post-bronchodilator.
- Survival prediction models were developed, and a new staging system using FEV1/ht2 was compared to GOLD staging.
Main Results:
- FEV1/ht2 demonstrated superior univariate predictive power for survival in COPD compared to FEV1 and FEV1PP.
- The optimal multivariate model for survival prediction incorporated FEV1/ht2, age, and sex.
- The FEV1/ht2 staging system provided more coherent survival stratification than the GOLD staging system, with GOLD misclassifying 51% of subjects.
Conclusions:
- The Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) criteria, relying on FEV1PP, do not optimally stage COPD patients concerning survival.
- Utilizing FEV1/ht2 offers an improved method for staging COPD severity and predicting survival.
- Alternative staging strategies, such as FEV1/ht2, should be considered for clinical trials and patient management guidelines in COPD.
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