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Mortality experience in the elderly in the Impairment Study Capture System.
Thomas Ashley1, Clifton P Titcomb, Anna Hart
1Gen Re LifeHealth, 695 E Main St, Stamford, CT 06901, USA. tashley@genre.com
This study on life insurance policies for individuals aged 70+ found higher mortality ratios for smokers. Underwriting effectiveness was confirmed, with mortality varying by duration post-issue, aligning with the 2001 VBT select period.
Area of Science:
- Actuarial science
- Mortality studies
- Insurance underwriting
Background:
- Analyzing mortality experience in older policyholders is crucial for accurate risk assessment.
- Understanding underwriting impacts on mortality provides insights into insurance product viability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate mortality experience and underwriting effectiveness for life insurance policies issued at ages 70 and above.
- To examine mortality ratios based on smoking status, underwriting type, and policy duration.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Impairment Study Capture System dataset.
- Analyzed policy data from 1990-1998 with 5-12 years of observation.
- Calculated mortality ratios, differentiating by smoking status and underwriting class.
Main Results:
- Observed a significantly higher mortality ratio for smokers compared to nonsmokers, despite adjusted expected mortality.
- Confirmed the intended effects of underwriting through analysis of different underwriting types and risk classes.
- Mortality ratio variations by duration post-issue were consistent with the 2001 VBT select period slope.
Conclusions:
- Smokers aged 70+ exhibit elevated mortality risk in life insurance.
- Underwriting practices effectively differentiate risk classes and influence mortality outcomes.
- The study validates established mortality tables for older policyholders.
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