Secular variation in United States rotavirus disease rates and serotypes: implications for assessing the rotavirus

Daniel C Payne1, Peter G Szilagyi, Mary Allen Staat

  • 1Epidemiology Branch, Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Disease, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA. DVP6@cdc.gov

Insights

Rotavirus disease rates and strains varied significantly across three US counties between 2006-2007, even with limited rotavirus vaccine use. This natural variability is crucial for evaluating vaccine impact.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Population-based surveillance for rotavirus disease in children was established in 2006 across three US counties: Monroe County, NY; Hamilton County, OH; and Davidson County, TN.
  • Surveillance focused on children under 3 years old admitted to hospitals or emergency departments (EDs) for diarrhea and/or vomiting.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To monitor and compare population-based rates of rotavirus disease and circulating strains in three distinct geographic locations.
  • To understand the natural variability of rotavirus disease and serotypes before widespread vaccine implementation.

Main Methods:

  • Clinical data and stool specimens were collected from hospitalized children (<3 years) during the 2006 and 2007 rotavirus seasons.
  • Specimens were tested for rotavirus, genotyped, and hospitalization/ED visit rates were calculated.
  • Rotavirus vaccination coverage was assessed in June 2007.

Main Results:

  • Aggregate rotavirus hospitalization rates were similar across sites in 2006-2007, but individual county rates varied significantly.
  • Rochester saw a 3-fold increase in rotavirus hospitalizations, while Cincinnati and Nashville experienced decreases.
  • The predominant rotavirus strain shifted in Rochester to P[8],G12 in 2007, while P[8],G1 remained dominant elsewhere. Rotavirus vaccine coverage reached 15% by June 2007.

Conclusions:

  • Significant variability in rotavirus disease rates and serotypes was observed across the three sites during 2006-2007, despite limited vaccine use.
  • This natural temporal and geographic variability in rotavirus disease must be considered when assessing the impact of rotavirus vaccination programs.
  • Understanding baseline disease patterns is essential for accurate vaccine effectiveness studies.
Abstract