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Prognostic factors in left-sided endocarditis: results from the Andalusian multicenter cohort
Juan Gálvez-Acebal1, Jesús Rodríguez-Baño, Francisco J Martínez-Marcos
1Infectious Diseases Section, University Hospital Virgen Macarena, Sevilla, Spain. jga3156@yahoo.es
Insights
Infective endocarditis (IE) mortality remains high. This study identified key predictors of in-hospital death in left-sided IE, including comorbidities and specific microorganisms, to guide risk stratification and treatment.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Infective endocarditis (IE) continues to have high mortality rates despite medical advancements.
- Previous prognostic studies in IE have yielded conflicting results.
- This study aimed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality in a large, multicenter cohort of left-sided IE.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with left-sided infective endocarditis (IE).
- To stratify risk in IE patients to guide specialized care and treatment strategies.
Main Methods:
- An observational, multicenter study was conducted across seven hospitals in Andalusia, Spain, from 1984 to 2006.
- Included 705 patients with left-sided IE.
- Analyzed prognostic factors using univariate and multilogistic regression models to determine in-hospital mortality predictors.
Main Results:
- Overall in-hospital mortality was 29.5%.
- Independent mortality predictors included Charlson comorbidity score, prosthetic valve endocarditis, Staphylococcus aureus etiology, severe heart failure, neurologic manifestations, septic shock, perivalvular extension, and acute renal failure.
- Streptococcus viridans group etiology and surgical treatment were identified as protective factors.
Conclusions:
- Specific patient characteristics and clinical factors identify individuals at higher risk for mortality in left-sided IE.
- These findings can inform the selection of patients who may benefit from specialized attention in referral centers.
- Risk stratification can guide more aggressive diagnostic and therapeutic interventions for high-risk IE patients.
Background:
Despite medical advances, mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) is still very high. Previous studies on prognosis in IE have observed conflicting results. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality in a large multicenter cohort of left-sided IE.
Methods:
An observational multicenter study was conducted from January 1984 to December 2006 in seven hospitals in Andalusia, Spain. Seven hundred and five left-side IE patients were included. The main outcome measure was in-hospital mortality. Several prognostic factors were analysed by univariate tests and then by multilogistic regression model.
Results:
The overall mortality was 29.5% (25.5% from 1984 to 1995 and 31.9% from 1996 to 2006; Odds Ratio 1.25; 95% Confidence Interval: 0.97-1.60; p = 0.07). In univariate analysis, age, comorbidity, especially chronic liver disease, prosthetic valve, virulent microorganism such as Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus agalactiae and fungi, and complications (septic shock, severe heart failure, renal insufficiency, neurologic manifestations and perivalvular extension) were related with higher mortality. Independent factors for mortality in multivariate analysis were: Charlson comorbidity score (OR: 1.2; 95% CI: 1.1-1.3), prosthetic endocarditis (OR: 1.9; CI: 1.2-3.1), Staphylococcus aureus aetiology (OR: 2.1; CI: 1.3-3.5), severe heart failure (OR: 5.4; CI: 3.3-8.8), neurologic manifestations (OR: 1.9; CI: 1.2-2.9), septic shock (OR: 4.2; CI: 2.3-7.7), perivalvular extension (OR: 2.4; CI: 1.3-4.5) and acute renal failure (OR: 1.69; CI: 1.0-2.6). Conversely, Streptococcus viridans group etiology (OR: 0.4; CI: 0.2-0.7) and surgical treatment (OR: 0.5; CI: 0.3-0.8) were protective factors.
Conclusions:
Several characteristics of left-sided endocarditis enable selection of a patient group at higher risk of mortality. This group may benefit from more specialised attention in referral centers and should help to identify those patients who might benefit from more aggressive diagnostic and/or therapeutic procedures.
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