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Published on: February 25, 2013
Spatial analysis of an anthrax outbreak in Saskatchewan, 2006
Tasha Epp1, Connie Argue, Cheryl Waldner
1Large Animal Clinical Sciences, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, 52 Campus Drive, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 5B4. tasha.epp@usask.ca
An anthrax outbreak in Saskatchewan affected over 800 animals. Spatial analysis revealed East Central Saskatchewan as a high-risk zone, with spring flooding and hot, dry weather potentially contributing factors.
Area of Science:
- Veterinary epidemiology
- Spatial statistics
- Environmental health
Background:
- A significant anthrax outbreak occurred in Saskatchewan in 2006.
- The outbreak impacted over 800 animals across 150 distinct locations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of anthrax cases.
- To identify significant trends and high-risk areas associated with the 2006 outbreak.
Main Methods:
- Utilized spatial and spatiotemporal statistical methods.
- Analyzed case and population data at both farm and rural municipality levels.
- Employed techniques including Oden's Ipop, Cuzick-Edwards' test, and spatial scan tests.
Main Results:
- Identified East Central Saskatchewan as a primary high-risk area.
- Pinpointed July 2006 as a peak period for the outbreak.
- Highlighted specific spatial clusters and temporal trends.
Conclusions:
- The study identified East Central Saskatchewan as a key region for the anthrax outbreak.
- Environmental factors, specifically spring flooding followed by hot, dry conditions, are suggested as potential contributors to the outbreak's development in the high-risk zone.
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