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Mortality risks induced by economic expenditures.

R L Keeney1

  • 1Systems Science Department, University of Southern California, Los Angeles 90089-0021.

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|March 1, 1990
PubMed
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Lower incomes correlate with increased mortality risks. This study models how economic spending, allocated across income levels, may inadvertently cause fatalities, questioning the net benefit of some life-saving policies.

Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Public Health Policy
  • Mortality Research

Background:

  • Established link between lower socioeconomic status and elevated mortality rates.
  • Need to understand the causal pathways and potential unintended consequences of economic policies on health outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the implications of income-induced mortality risks.
  • To develop a model for estimating fatalities potentially caused by economic expenditures.
  • To assess the net impact of certain regulations and programs on public health.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a novel model to quantify induced fatalities.
  • Analysis of expenditure allocation across diverse income strata.
  • Illustrative calculations to demonstrate model insights.
Keywords:
AmericasDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesDifferential MortalityEconomic FactorsIncomeModels, TheoreticalMortalityNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPolicyPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocial PolicySocioeconomic FactorsUnited States

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Main Results:

  • Economic expenditures, depending on allocation, may lead to increased fatalities.
  • Some costly interventions aimed at saving lives might paradoxically increase mortality.
  • The magnitude of induced fatalities can be significant.

Conclusions:

  • The interpretation of economic impacts on mortality requires careful consideration of induced effects.
  • Policy evaluations should account for potential negative health externalities.
  • Further research and cautious interpretation of findings are warranted.