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Updated: May 24, 2026

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This study analyzed cohort nuptiality trends in England and Wales using the GENMAR system. Findings reveal increased marriage intensity at younger ages and a rise in women ever marrying, though marriage rates are slowing for recent cohorts.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Sociology
- Population Studies
Background:
- Understanding long-term trends in marriage patterns is crucial for social and economic policy.
- Previous analyses often lacked cohort-specific data, limiting insights into generational marriage behaviors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate cohort nuptiality trends in England and Wales using a novel computerized system.
- To analyze changes in first marriage patterns across birth cohorts from 1900 onwards.
Main Methods:
- Development and application of the GENMAR (General Marriage Analysis and Registration) system.
- Generation of 'complete' gross nuptiality tables for birth cohorts from 1900 to present.
- Analysis of first marriage data for England and Wales.
Main Results:
- Substantial increases in first marriage intensity at younger ages observed across cohorts.
- A downward shift in the modal age at first marriage and a significant rise in the proportion of women ever married.
- Changes in female nuptiality attributed to both tempo and level, while male changes were primarily temporal; a slowdown in marriage for cohorts born after the early 1950s is indicated.
Conclusions:
- Cohort nuptiality has significantly evolved, with younger marriage ages and higher rates among women, but recent trends suggest a deceleration.
- The GENMAR system provides a robust framework for detailed cohort-based nuptiality analysis.
- Future research should explore the drivers behind the observed slowdown in marriage for recent cohorts.
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