Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 22, 2026

09:07
Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations
Published on: September 16, 2015
Some remarks on the compatibility between determinism and unpredictability
1Université de Lyon, ENS de Lyon &, IXXI, Rhône-Alpine Institute of Complex Systems, Lyon, France. Sara.Franceschelli@ens-lyon.fr
Progress in Biophysics and Molecular Biology
|May 24, 2012
Summary
Deterministic systems can exhibit unpredictable behavior. A new "scenario to chaos transition" concept offers predictability for systems sensitive to initial conditions by analyzing control parameter variations.
Area of Science:
- Dynamical Systems Theory
- Chaos Theory
- Developmental Biology
Background:
- Deterministic systems can exhibit unpredictable behaviors when sensitive to initial conditions.
- Understanding this sensitivity is crucial for predicting system dynamics.
- Existing frameworks may not fully capture developmental noise in complex systems.
Purpose of the Study:
- Introduce the concept of "scenario to chaos transition" for predictability in sensitive systems.
- Explore the genesis of this notion using dynamical systems and structural stability.
- Propose a link between dynamical systems and the epigenetic landscape to model developmental noise.
Main Methods:
- Dynamical systems approach to analyze system behavior.
- Considerations of structural stability to understand system robustness.
- Conceptual framework linking dynamical systems to epigenetic landscapes.
Main Results:
- Deterministic flows can lead to unpredictable outcomes due to sensitivity to initial conditions.
- The scenario to chaos transition provides a novel predictability measure for such systems.
- A dynamical systems perspective on the epigenetic landscape offers a framework for developmental noise.
Conclusions:
- Determinism and unpredictability are reconcilable through sensitive initial conditions.
- The scenario to chaos transition enhances predictability in complex systems.
- The epigenetic landscape, viewed through dynamical systems, aids in understanding developmental noise.
Related Concept Videos
The Second Law of Thermodynamics
In the quest to identify a property that may reliably predict the spontaneity of a process, a promising candidate has been identified: entropy. Scientists refer to the measure of randomness or disorder within a system as entropy. High entropy means high disorder and low energy. To better understand entropy, think of a student’s bedroom. If no energy or work were put into it, the room would quickly become messy. It would exist in a very disordered state, one of high entropy. Energy must be put...
Uncertainty: Overview
In analytical chemistry, we often perform repetitive measurements to detect and minimize inaccuracies caused by both determinate and indeterminate errors. Despite the cares we take, the presence of random errors means that repeated measurements almost never have exactly the same magnitude. The collective difference between these measurements - observed values - and the estimated or expected value is called uncertainty. Uncertainty is conventionally written after the estimated or expected value.
Personal Choice and Fate Attributions
Some individuals interpret life events as a consequence of their personal choices and actions, while others believe that outcomes are dictated by fate or destiny. This divergence in perspective has been examined in psychological and cross-cultural studies, particularly in relation to religious faith and cultural beliefs about causality.Fate and Personal ResponsibilityPeople who emphasize personal responsibility view events as direct consequences of their decisions. For instance, breaking a leg...
Constraints and Statical Determinacy
In structural engineering, the equilibrium of a system is not only determined by its equations of equilibrium but also with the help of constraints. Constraints refer to restrictions on the motion of a system. The proper combinations of constraints can minimize the total number of constraints needed to maintain a system in mechanical equilibrium. When this happens, the system is said to be statically determinate. For such systems, the unknown reaction supports can be estimated using equilibrium...
Second Law of Thermodynamics
In the quest to identify a property that may reliably predict the spontaneity of a process, a promising candidate has been identified: entropy. Processes that involve an increase in entropy of the system (ΔS > 0) are very often spontaneous; however, examples to the contrary are plentiful. By expanding consideration of entropy changes to include the surroundings, a significant conclusion regarding the relation between this property and spontaneity may be reached. In thermodynamic models, the...
Random Error
Random or indeterminate errors originate from various uncontrollable variables, such as variations in environmental conditions, instrument imperfections, or the inherent variability of the phenomena being measured. Usually, these errors cannot be predicted, estimated, or characterized because their direction and magnitude often vary in magnitude and direction even during consecutive measurements. As a result, they are difficult to eliminate. However, the aggregate effect of these errors can be...