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Assessing Intertidal Populations of the Invasive European Green Crab
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Will climate change promote future invasions?

Celine Bellard1, Wilfried Thuiller, Boris Leroy

  • 1Ecologie, Systématique & Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris-Sud, Orsay Cedex, FR-91405, France.

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|August 6, 2013
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Climate and land use changes will drastically shift invasive species ranges, creating new invasion hotspots in Europe, North America, and Oceania. Some regions may see invasive species decline, offering restoration opportunities.

Keywords:
Climate changeinvasive speciesland use changespecies distribution models

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Conservation Biology
  • Environmental Science

Background:

  • Biological invasions pose a significant threat to global biodiversity.
  • The International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) identifies the world's worst invasive species.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To project future suitable areas for 100 of the world's worst invasive species.
  • To identify potential hotspots and areas of decline for invasive species under climate and land use change.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized ensemble forecasts from species distribution models.
  • Analyzed projected range shifts for invasive amphibians, birds, aquatic invertebrates, and terrestrial invertebrates.

Main Results:

  • Climate and land use changes are projected to cause drastic species range shifts.
  • Identified three future invasion hotspots: Europe, northeastern North America, and Oceania.
  • Projected shrinking ranges for invasive amphibians and birds, but substantial increases for most aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates.

Conclusions:

  • Invasive alien species will significantly impact future biodiversity.
  • Identifying invasion hotspots and areas of potential decline can inform conservation and restoration efforts.